{"id":15795,"date":"2026-03-10T12:14:47","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T12:14:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gpbookstore.org\/articles\/uncategorized\/the-probability-and-significance-of-coincidences\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T06:00:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T06:00:15","slug":"the-probability-and-significance-of-coincidences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gpbookstore.org\/articles\/angels-and-miracles\/miracles\/gods-grace\/the-probability-and-significance-of-coincidences\/","title":{"rendered":"The Probability and Significance of Coincidences"},"content":{"rendered":"

In 2015, philosopher and author Dr. Sharon Hewitt Rawlette had an experience that changed the course of her career\u2014and her life. She was on a weekend getaway in Pennsylvania with a college friend. In the weeks leading up to the trip she\u2019d been thinking about another friend, one she\u2019d made while living in France. They\u2019d fallen out of touch years ago, but for some reason he was on her mind. She wondered if she should reach out to him, but the situation was complicated, so she decided not to. During her getaway, Dr. Rawlette and her friend were trying to find a grocery store. Using her phone\u2019s voice command, her friend asked GPS to locate the nearest grocery store, then handed the phone to Dr. Rawlette to read.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen the map popped up, it wasn\u2019t showing me grocery stores in Pennsylvania,\u201d says Dr. Rawlette. \u201cIt was showing me grocery stores in Carhaix, France.\u201d<\/p>\n

Her French friend didn\u2019t live in Carhaix. Didn\u2019t even visit often, as far as she knew. Still, it was too strange to ignore, and when she returned from her trip she sent him an email. Her friend was happy to hear from her. As they caught up, he told her about his recent trip to\u2026Carhaix! Accounting for the time difference, he\u2019d been visiting there the same day the GPS had shown the town.<\/p>\n

Intrigued, Dr. Rawlette vowed to better understand the phenomenon behind her strange experience<\/a>. Was it random chance, or was it something more? She spent the next five years collecting accounts and reviewing research on coincidences. She compiled her findings in her book, The Source and Significance of Coincidences.<\/i><\/p>\n

I decided to reach out to her to learn more about a question so integral to all of the awe-inspiring stories you read in Mysterious Ways<\/i>: What tips the scale from serendipity<\/a> to something ordained?<\/p>\n

Dr. Rawlette found that the events she studied were both highly improbable and highly significant. In some cases, she found that the odds that an improbable event occurred, and that it had significance to the experiencer, were astronomical. So unlikely that it appears to point to a divine force working behind the scenes.<\/p>\n

The improbability factor can be calculated mathematically. Of course, each situation is unique, but here\u2019s a hypothetical. Let\u2019s say you\u2019re thinking of calling a friend but you keep putting it off. You happen to play a board game with your family. Each turn in the game requires you to roll the dice seven times. During one of your turns, you realize that, when strung together, your rolls add up exactly to your friend\u2019s phone number.<\/p>\n

Incredible, right? Dr. Rawlette calculates that the probability of any combination of numbers on seven dice rolls is 1 in 279,936. That\u2019s pretty unlikely. But what\u2019s the probability of rolling that combination of numbers at the same time that you\u2019re thinking of calling your friend? What\u2019s the probability that this string of random numbers will mean<\/i> something to you?<\/p>\n

Which brings us to the next part of the calculation: significance. \u201cThese occurrences are not only very improbable\u2014very hard to explain away\u2014but they also carry with them a strong emotional weight,\u201d Dr. Rawlette says.<\/p>\n

She describes the case of a woman who, feeling lonely and dejected, was staring out her window at a magnolia tree. She wished for a sign from God<\/a>, something to let her know he was with her. As soon as she had that thought, she watched one of the tree\u2019s flower buds, tightly closed just moments before, unfurl before her eyes. Not only was this woman improbably there and watching at the precise moment the flower opened, but the event satisfied a deep spiritual need for her as well.<\/p>\n

Even experiences that initially feel negative can turn out to be heaven sent. Dr. Rawlette tells the story of Jenny Saunders, who, on the morning of April 10, 1980, awoke to find that her living room walls appeared to be bleeding. I\u2019ve heard of this happening before. If it gets humid enough, the latex in paint can re-liquefy, leaving behind a reddish residue. (It\u2019s actually a relatively common problem.)<\/p>\n

Still, it felt like more<\/i> to Jenny. Finally she made the connection. Months earlier, she\u2019d had a miscarriage. If the baby had survived, the birthday would\u2019ve been April 10. The day the wall started \u201cbleeding.\u201d Realizing she hadn\u2019t yet worked through her grief and guilt, she sought out therapy.<\/p>\n

What was at first a terrifying experience led Jenny to confront the complicated feelings she\u2019d been harboring. \u201cExperiences like this are trying to draw our attention to something in our emotional life that is unpleasant but needs to be dealt with,\u201d says Dr. Rawlette. \u201cJust like nightmares. We have difficult dreams because we\u2019re processing difficult emotions. Improbable coincidences like Jenny\u2019s are like waking dreams.\u201d<\/p>\n

Whether initially calming or unpleasant, these experiences ultimately lead us to a place of strong faith and healing<\/a>. \u201cThey help us learn something about ourselves and our relationship to God,\u201d says Dr. Rawlette. \u201cOur spirit is expanded by the way those experiences influence us.\u201d<\/p>\n

For Dr. Rawlette, these events also bring a newfound comfort by showing us the intricate interconnectivity between all things. \u201cLook at how the outside world is reflecting what you feel inside! We\u2019re all connected,\u201d says Dr. Rawlette. \u201cWe are never as isolated as we feel.\u201d<\/p>\n

Since our conversation, I\u2019ve thought about coincidences in my own life<\/a>. I don\u2019t think I\u2019ve ever experienced something as incredible as the things I\u2019ve heard described during my time here at Mysterious Ways<\/i>. But something keeps popping up. It\u2019s a number: 218.<\/p>\n

I was born February 18\u20142\/18\u2014and it seems that the number always follows me. Flight numbers, receipts, phone numbers. I see it everywhere, especially when I\u2019m dealing with something difficult and in need of some reassurance. I\u2019ve lost count of the times I\u2019ve been having a rough day and been suddenly uplifted by randomly looking at the clock to see that it was 2:18.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ve done the calculations. There are 24 hours in a day, 60 minutes in an hour. That\u2019s 1,440 minutes in a day. Every day it\u2019s 2:18 for two minutes. Two out of 1,440 can be reduced to 1\/720. So that means there\u2019s a 1-in-720 chance of my checking the time and noticing it\u2019s 2:18. Everyone has the same chance, the same odds, but 2:18 has more significance to me than it does for everyone else. And the fact that it usually happens when I\u2019m feeling stressed or overwhelmed is even more incredible. A divine reminder that I\u2019m not alone.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In 2015, philosopher and author Dr. Sharon Hewitt Rawlette had an experience that changed the course of her career\u2014and her life. She was on a weekend getaway in Pennsylvania with a college friend. In the weeks leading up to the trip she\u2019d been thinking about another friend, one she\u2019d made while living in France. 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